Projecting seeds, Part I
February 12, 2008 on 10:06 am | In analysis | Comments Off on Projecting seeds, Part ILet’s start with the private schools, since they are by far the easiest of the three projections. I’ve only got one team I had trouble placing, so let’s get an idea of what this bracket could look like …
Preparing for the state cutoff
February 8, 2008 on 12:10 am | In analysis | Comments Off on Preparing for the state cutoffAs a reminder, all games played up to AND INCLUDING Monday, Feb. 11 count toward teams’ records for the state tournament. Apparently shootouts count as wins and losses for the purpose of the state tournament.
With that in mind, here’s a breakdown (which will be updated periodically) of which teams are already in and which teams are on the bubble. If you see a mistake, please send an e-mail to jty [at] njhockey.org.
Continue reading Preparing for the state cutoff…
tiebreakers
February 5, 2008 on 1:40 am | In analysis | Comments Off on tiebreakersI always start getting questions about tiebreakers this time of year. And I always forget how to answer them.
So a year ago, I wrote it down on this blog for future reference. I did a handy-dandy search and came away with the answers. This post explains it all – at least everything I know.
Shore Conference gets it (mostly) right
January 29, 2008 on 3:37 pm | In analysis, breaking news | Comments Off on Shore Conference gets it (mostly) rightThe much-maligned Shore Conference has heeded the advice of ice hockey coaches and administrators and scrapped its plans to have one tournament. Instead, there will be a six-team Shore A tournament four-team Shore B tournament. Regulations for the tournament, always an interesting read, can be found here.
My only beef with the set-up is the following lines: “Division winners are granted an automatic entry to their respective tournaments. The seeding committee will determine the remaining entries and all seeds.”
I am still mirky on the criteria that will determine “division winners” and how that fits in with the private school requirement standard to most Shore tournaments. More importantly, what’s the point of all these league games if seeding is not going to be determined by league standings. All the Shore B teams are playing each other twice; take the best four records from those games? Or count the Shore A games, for all I care, but let the seeding be determined by standings, as in the other leagues, and not by subjective seeding.
Otherwise, a big thumbs up. Any chance Paul McInnis and the NJIHL will sell off the Handchen Cup and Dowd Cup trophies to the Shore Conference?
A big thanks to all the Shore Conference coaches and administrators who pushed for this.
Other Monday action
January 22, 2008 on 1:50 am | In analysis | Comments Off on Other Monday actionOkay, what do I know? Watchung Hills did not take advantage of its mulligan, losing 3-0 to Cranford on Monday. I know Cranford has a decent team this year, but the Cougars did just lose to Summit. The Central White is turning into an interesting race. If I could get Paul VI to report its scores, we might even find out who finishes in first!
Ramsey also slipped up, tying Mahwah 3-3 just a few days after beating the Thunderbirds. St. Joseph Metuchen had a chance for revenge against Hillsborough but could only come away with a 3-3 tie. And Notre Dame got whipped 7-0 by St. Augustine Prep. That one really wasn’t too much of a surprise, but it just adds to a poor performance from yesterday’s Top 20.
Moral of the story is … the Central Conference and NBIAL are pretty darn unpredictable, and ranking their teams is next to impossible.
Rankings, Vers. 4.0 (Jan. 20)
January 21, 2008 on 1:10 am | In analysis | 3 CommentsI’ve been putting off these rankings for a while. And I don’t think I did myself any favors. These were really hard to come up with, and I’m sure some people (Northern Conference, Shore Conference) won’t like them a whole lot. That’s the nature of the beast.
I’m putting these out there for discussion and debate, not because I think they’re infallible or because I’m particularly attached to any comparisons. I’m also splitting public schools into their Public A and Public B classifications, as we will for the state tournament.
Read on for the njhockey.org Top 10s:
Tuesday rundown
January 15, 2008 on 11:58 am | In analysis | 2 CommentsNice work by Paul and J.C. at the Star-Ledger in today’s notebook: check it out here. A few things beg for a comment from yours truly, however.
Madison I’m glad somebody up there finally hopped on this story and got answers straight from the mouths of the coach and athletic director. However, the Ledger was not clear about the consequences. The article never states what rule Madison violated in the process. My real question is: has Madison been precluded from the state tournament for exceeding the limit on game disqualifications or because it refused to complete an athletic contest? The former seems the more likely, since I do not know of any NJSIAA statute that prevents teams from forfeiting games.
Shootouts Anyone who has talked to me about this issue knows how strongly I feel. But let me quote the article, which quoted the inimitable Paul McInnis:
“For teams that took part in a game-deciding shootout in a tournament this season, Paul McInnis, the NJSIAA state tournament director and ice hockey rules interpreter, has a message: Don’t count it as a tie. ‘Those teams in holiday tournaments that went to a shootout and advanced should count it as a win, and the team that didn’t should count that as a loss,’ he said. ‘In our meeting in April we’ll address this issue more clearly.’
This is lunacy. Whether you agree with the decision or not (and clearly, I don’t), the NJSIAA cannot continue to make decisions mid-season and inform coaches and athletic directors of them at the last minute or, in this case, after the fact. Teams have been playing overtimes and shootouts in holiday tournaments for years, but this year, with almost no warning, the NJSIAA decided to crack down on overtimes and force teams to go straight to shootouts. From everything I heard, that was a last-minute decision not everybody was aware of. But how can you rule that a shootout result should stand when (a) you admit you need to address the issue more clearly after the season, (b) even the NHL doesn’t count a shootout as a loss and (c) teams have already played shootouts, expecting the game itself to count as a tie. For the record, shootouts will continue to be listed as ties in my book.
Three games in a row So the Ledger reported that Don Bosco Prep will forfeit one of its wins in the Maine High School Hockey Invitational because the Ironmen played three games in three days. They would have had to forfeit the third one instead, but they lost that game anyway. This is in keeping with the NJSIAA’s precedent on violators of this rule (Delbarton, 1989 being the most well known case) but seems an odd penalty. What if the team lost all three games? How would the NJSIAA determine which game it should forfeit?
I have not heard if the NJSIAA will enforce similar penalties on Dumont (Dec. 21-23), Hudson Catholic (Jan. 4-6) or J.P. Stevens (Jan. 12-14), all of which played three games in three days. Dumont did not actually play the third game due to a forfeit, and the other two teams lost all three games.
In the Don Bosco Prep situation, I happen to know that the original schedule called for DBP to play three games in four days, but the tournament changed the schedule at the last minute due to other cancellations. Don Bosco had little choice in the matter and self-reported the violation upon its return to New Jersey.
So while the Ledger’s article didn’t answer every question, in my opinion, you have to like any report that brings up that many different storylines and gets that much space.
St. Rose I do have to give a shout-out to St. Rose for beating East Side 14-5 yesterday. I’m not quite sure how Peter O’Neill’s troops engineered a 10-goal turnaround from the teams’ first meeting, a 5-4 East Side win, but it’s good to see the Purple Roses get off the schneid. And I can now start wearing my East Side hockey shirt again. Seriously. Other teams still looking for a win include Hudson Catholic, Dayton, Old Bridge, Edison, West Morris and Middletown South … I’m rooting for each one to get at least one ‘W.’
Missing scores Game scores I’m missing … Jan. 12 Dem-OT; Jan. 12 MH-Reg; Jan. 14 Liv-SJHam.
At-large bids I received a question about at-large bids for Public B teams in competitive conferences (e.g. Verona, West Essex). To the best of my knowledge, the at-large process will be exactly the same as in the past: teams must finish within four games of .500 at the Feb. 11 cutoff date to apply for one of three public and two private at-large bids. Only three total public at-large bids will be awarded, and teams from both classes are eligible.
Trivia In preparation for next year, I’ve been wondering how to refer to John F. Kennedy Memorial High School in Iselin. What do the Mustangs they prefer? JFK Iselin? Iselin Kennedy? Kennedy (Iselin)? Kennedy Memorial? I have no idea. … It seems Jackson Liberty and Jackson Memorial have the same colors. Bizarre. … The itinerary for Delbarton’s trip to Minnesota is just freaking awesome. In addition to the three games, the Green Wave will see old friend George Parros (pictured with the trademark snarl of a Delbarton and Princeton graduate, at right) play in an NHL game, check out the U.S. Pond Hockey Championships (always a great photo in Sports Illustrated) and tour the University of Minnesota. Way better than our trips to Middlebury I went on in 1999 and 2000. … If you haven’t done so, check out this page on the Devils’ site – I like it a lot. … Finally, VOTE FOR DALE!
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