Beyond the Scoresheet

Projecting seeds, Part I

February 12, 2008 on 10:06 am | In analysis | Comments Off on Projecting seeds, Part I

Let’s start with the private schools, since they are by far the easiest of the three projections. I’ve only got one team I had trouble placing, so let’s get an idea of what this bracket could look like …

1. Delbarton – No explanation needed.
2. CBA – Pretty easy choice.
3. St. Augustine Prep – Only one loss outside of the top two.
4. Bergen Catholic – Crusaders barely hold on to home-ice advantage …
5. Bishop Eustace – … over the other Crusaders, who are on the rise.
6. Seton Hall Prep – Six-game winless streak is not pretty.
7. Don Bosco Prep – Just enough wins to hold onto this spot.
8. Morristown-Beard – With the Crimson in control of the Mennen Division, I gave them a slight edge for this spot. I took first-round matchups into account, too.
9. St. John Vianney – Shore A champ, yada yada. Beat Randolph by less than Beard.
10. Red Bank Catholic – Beat Pope John, Notre Dame and St. Joe’s.
11. Monsignor Donovan – beat Gloucester Catholic, tied RBC.
12. St. Joseph Metuchen – Finished second in tough Central Red BUT lost 7-1 to RBC.
13. Gloucester Catholic – Finished behind St. Joe and lost to MonDon.
14. Montclair Kimberley – Split with Gloucester, beat Pingry and tied Randolph.
15. Pingry – Hard to figure out but usually a competitive squad.
16. St. Peter’s Prep – The loss to Morris Knolls forced the Marauders below Pingry.
17. Pope John – Last-place Gordon team did beat Notre Dame.
18. Notre Dame – CVC champs beat Paramus Catholic but lost to three other privates.
19. Paramus Catholic – Won the worst Red Division.
20. Paul VI – No non-league games to go by, but the Central White is solid.
21. DePaul Catholic – Northern Blue team likely to be overmatched.

I couldn’t avoid a Gordon Conference game in the 1/16/17 matchups, but every other game in the preliminary round and round of 16 should be between teams from different leagues. I think Morristown-Beard is the only really contestable seed in here (although somebody will argue that point), but strength of schedule overcame some of the Crimson’s inconsistencies. If you’ve got good arguments, post them here.